Best Quarterbacks in the NFL 2021-22 Hierarchy Prediction
This is my prediction for the best Quarterbacks in the NFL going into the 2021-22 season. It’s a prediction based on the talent of each player as well as their projected production for next season. Keep in mind while reading that this is a prediction which is why a couple of names will be different compared to their 2020 production.
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TIER 1:
Russell Wilson – Let Russ Cook. Russell Wilson was on an MVP pace early last season until Pete Carroll took a much more safe, run heavy approach. He has the weapons, he has the talent, so let Russell Wilson do his thing.
Patrick Mahomes – He is the most talented Quarterback in the NFL with a brand new offensive line. He has speed surrounding him which perfectly compliments his cannon of an arm. Mahomes is the MVP favorite for a reason.
Aaron Rodgers – The drama is over. Aaron Rodgers is back with the Packers and will compete just like he always does. There are even more familiar faces at his disposal.
Josh Allen – This man keeps getting better every season. The Bills roster is stacked and Josh Allen is at the helm.
Tom Brady – Definitely not the most talented at 43 years old, but you can’t argue the clutchness. He has an elite offensive line, elite wide receiver group and the Bucs are looking for back-to-back Super Bowl victories.
TIER 2:
Dak Prescott – He was on pace to shatter the passing yard record before going down with injury. He has an elite Wide Receiver group surrounding him and a lackluster defense that will force him to go very pass heavy. I could see him emerging into the 1st tier.
Kyler Murray – Though he started off hot last season, teams became more savvy for the read option. He needs to become a more consistent passer to rise to the 1st tier.
Lamar Jackson – On pace to become the best running Quarterback in NFL history if you don’t already consider him as such. He may need some work as a passer, but more than makes up for it with his rushing ability.
Justin Herbert – After a historic rookie season, Justin Herbert has an even better Chargers team going into 2021. I usually lean away from recency bias, but I love him going into next season.
Matthew Stafford – Sean McVay is an offensive genius who was masking the bad play of Jared Goff. Matthew Stafford is a massive upgrade on a very, very talented offense.
Deshaun Watson – What will happen with Deshaun this season? Your guess is as good as mine. What I do know is that strictly from a talent perspective, he is elite.
Ryan Tannehill – He has already transformed his career and now has Julio Jones at his disposal. This defense might take a hit next season and their offense is looking better than it has in the past 5 years.
TIER 3:
Joe Burrow – The injury has me worried, but Joe Burrow was fantastic when he was playing last season. The Bengals have one of the most underrated receiving groups in the league for Burrow to throw to.
Ben Roethlisberger – This isn’t the same Big Ben we all know and love. He is more of a game manager than ever who has become reliant on the short passing game.
Matt Ryan – One of the most underappreciated Quarterbacks of all-time. He lost Julio Jones, but gains Kyle Pitts who in my mind will already be one of the best Tight Ends in the NFL as a rookie.
Trevor Lawrence – He is one of the greatest Quarterback prospects of all-time. The Jaguars are not yet good enough to compete for the playoffs, but Trevor Lawrence will keep things exciting as a passer.
Baker Mayfield – Another player who I think doesn’t get enough respect. He doesn’t do too much as a passer, but doesn’t have to. The Browns have an amazing defense and rushing attack which allows him to not take too many risks.
Derek Carr – I’m down on the Raiders this season. Derek Carr will have to be really special for them to make the playoffs and I believe he is nothing more than a middle of the pack Quarterback.
Kirk Cousins – With Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson at his disposal, Kirk Cousins has played very well. This is another case of him not having to do too much because of how good Dalvin Cook and the talent around him.
TIER 4:
Ryan Fitzpatrick – Fitzmagic now joins the best team of his career. The Washington Football team has one of the best defenses in the NFL and if he doesn’t go back to his all or nothing approach, he should find great success.
Tua Tagovailoa – People now think the norm is for a rookie Quarterback to immediately be great. I haven’t given up on Tua just yet and the Dolphins armed him some phenomenal talent at receiver.
Jalen Hurts – Could be a great fantasy football Quarterback, but I don’t believe in him as a real life Quarterback. Teams will adjust to his run heavy approach and he hasn’t done enough as a passer to wow me.
Carson Wentz – About a 60/40 chance that Wentz doesn’t finish the whole season. If he does, the Colts are a nice darkhorse team filled with talent around him.
Justin Fields – I love Justin Fields and believe that starting Andy Dalton is a mistake. I expect Dalton to lose his starting spot around week 4.
Jared Goff – As I mentioned above, I believe Sean McVay masked the awful play of Goff. Now on a horrible Lions team, he will be back to his losing ways. At least he is behind one of the best offensive lines in the NFL.
Jameis Winston – Winston is only 27 years old and on a list of legends who threw for over 5000 yards. He doesn’t get enough respect and has a lot to prove.
Cam Newton – Another player with a lot to prove. If he can play like he did before getting COVID last season, he will not lose his starting spot.
TIER 5:
Daniel Jones – The Giants made a splash in free agency arming Jones with some serious receiving talent. Too bad they have a horrible offensive line to protect Daniel Jones especially considering he is a turnover machine.
Drew Lock – I don’t know who will be the starter for the majority of the year. The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the NFL and one of the best Wide Receiver duos in the NFL, but the question mark at Quarterback is holding them back.
Mac Jones – This man has looked fantastic over the pre-season, but it’s only pre-season. I don’t believe he will be the starter of the Patriots until at least next season.
Jimmy Garoppolo – Another case of a player who could lose his starting spot. Jimmy G knows how to win games, but does it in an ugly fashion. It’s only a matter of time before Trey Lance becomes the starter and future of this team.
Zach Wilson – The 2nd Quarterback taken, but at the bottom of the list for most people. I like the future of Zach Wilson, but i’m not a believer this season considering how bad this Jets team is.
Sam Darnold – Could Sam Darnold transform his career? It’s not out of the question especially considering he has CMC, D.J. Moore and Robby Anderson at his disposal.
Trey Lance – I love Trey Lance. I believe he should become the starter for the 49ers before the end of the season.
Teddy Bridgewater – As I mentioned above, who knows who will start more games this season. Great talent around whoever it is.
Andy Dalton – He is out of his prime and Justin Fields gives them a better chance to win.
Tyrod Taylor – The worst starting Quarterback in the NFL. I feel bad for anyone put in this position on this horrible Texans franchise.
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